(See CV or Google scholar )
Publications
Causal inference:
- A nonparametric estimator for the probability of causation – Maria Cuellar and Edward Kennedy
- Causal reasoning and data analysis: Problems with the abusive head trauma diagnosis – Maria Cuellar
- Short fall arguments in court: A Probabilistic Analysis – Maria Cuellar
Forensic science:
- Human and machine similarity judgments in forensic firearm comparisons – Maria Cuellar, Cleotilde Gonzalez, Itiel Dror (forthcoming in FSI Synergy)
- A probabilistic formulation of contextual bias in forensic analysis – Maria Cuellar, Jacqueline Mauro, Amanda Luby (forthcoming in JRSS-A)
- Implementing Blind Proficiency Testing in Forensic Laboratories: Motivation, Obstacles, and Recommendations – Robin Mejia, Maria Cuellar, and Jeff Salyards
- Public beliefs about the accuracy and importance of forensic evidence in the United States – Jacob Kaplan, Shichun Ling, and Maria Cuellar
- Implementation of a blind quality control program in blood alcohol analysis – Jackeline Moral, Callan Hundl, Dayong Lee, Maddisen Neuman, Aimee Grimaldi, Maria Cuellar, and Peter Stout
Public health:
- Overdose Awareness and Reversal Trainings at Philadelphia Public Libraries – Margaret Lowenstein, Rachel Feuerstein-Simon, Roxanne Dupuis, Allison Herens, Jeffrey Hom, Meghana Sharma, Risha Sheni, Lonard Encarnacion, Carina Flaherty, Maria Cuellar, Carolyn Cannuscio
- Measuring marginal crime concentration: A new solution to an old problem – Aaron Chalfin, Jacob Kaplan, and Maria Cuellar
- Trends in Underreporting of Marijuana Consumption in the United States – Maria Cuellar
In progress:
- Mediation analysis for the probability of causation – Max Rubinstein, Dan Malinsky
- An algorithm for forensic toolmark identification – Heike Hofmann, Sheng Gao
- A hierarchical model to study forensic toolmark identification – Shane Jensen, Alex Knorre
- Accuracy and fairness in police use of facial recognition
- Shaken Baby Syndrome – Causal analysis of prevention and awareness campaigns
Groups:
I am part of CSAFE, a group of statisticians and other researchers working to improve the foundations of forensic science. I am part of the Quattrone Center, an interdisciplinary group housed in the Penn law school that promotes data-based research for the fair administration of justice. I am part of the Penn Center for Causal Inference, a group out of statistics and biostatistics, and one of the most stimulating reading groups I have participated in.
Click here to see an app I made to visualize the estimated probability of causation for a randomized trial from Kenya.
Video
Here is a talk I gave at the Newton Institute for Mathematical Sciences at the University of Cambridge, during the workshop on Bayesian Networks and Argumentation in Evidence, entitled Shaken Baby Syndrome on Trial. (Here’s the link in case you can’t see the video.)