Published Articles

Li, X., Long, D., Scanlon, B. R., Mann, M. E., Li, X., Tian, F., Sun, Z., & Wang, G., Climate change threatens terrestrial water storage over the Tibetan Plateau, Nature Climate Change, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-022-01443-0, 2022.
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Abraham, J.P., Cheng, L., Mann, M.E.Trenberth, K.E., von Schuckmann, K., The Ocean Response to Climate Change Guides Both Adaptation and Mitigation EffortsAtmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters, 15, 100221, doi: 10.1016/j.aosl.2022.100221, 2022.
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Steinman, B.A., Stansell, N.D., Mann, M.E., Cooke, C.A., Abbott, M.B., Vuille, M., Bird, B.W., Lachniet, M.S., Fernandez, A., Interhemispheric antiphasing of neotropical precipitation during the past millenniumProc. Nat. Acad. Sci., 119(17), e2120015119, doi: 10.1073/pnas.2120015119, 2022.
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Mann, M.E., The legacy of Rajendra Pachauri: a personal reflection, in “Dr R K Pachauri: The Crusader Against Climate Change”, Yateendra Joshi, P.K. Jayanthan, Vibha Dhawan, Amit Kumar, Rakesh Kacker (eds.),  TERI Alumni Association, 2 pp, 2022.

Mann, M.E., Steinman, B.A., Brouillette, D.J., Fernandez, A., Miller, S.K., On The Estimation of Internal Climate Variability During the Preindustrial Past MillenniumGeophys Res. Lett., 49, e2021GL096596, doi: 10.1029/2021GL096596, 2022.
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Cheng, L., Abraham, J.P., Trenberth, K.E., Fasullo, J., Boyer, T., Mann, M.E., Zhu, J., Wang, F., Locarnini, R., Li, Y., Zhang, B., Tan, Z., Yu, F., Wan, L., Chen, X., Song, X., Liu, Y., Reseghetti, F., Simoncelli, S., Gouretski, V., Chen, G., Mishonov, A., Reagan, J., Another record: Ocean warming continues through 2021 Despite La Nina ConditionsAdvances in Atmospheric Sciences, doi:10.1007/s00376-022-1461-3, 2022.
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Mann, M.E.Beyond the Hockey Stick: Climate Lessons from The Common EraProc. Natl. Acad. Sci., 118 (39) e2112797118; doi: 10.1073/pnas.2112797118, 2021.
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Mukherjee, S., G., Mishra, A.K., Mann, M.E., Raymond, C., Anthropogenic Warming and Population Growth May Double US Heat Stress by the Late 21st CenturyEarth’s Future, 9, e2020EF001886. doi:10.1029/2020EF001886, 2021.
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Meehl, G.A., Richter, J.H., Teng, H., Capotondi, A, Cobb, K., Doblas-Reyes, F., Donat, M.G., England, M.H., Fyfe, J.C., Han, W., Kim, H., Kirtman, B.P., Kushnir, Y., Lovenduski, N.S., Mann, M.E., Merryfield, W.J., Nieves, V., Pegion, K., Rosenbloom, N., Sanchez, S.C.,. Scaife, A.A., Smith, D., Subramanian, A.C., Sun, L., Thompson, D., Ummenhofer, C.C., Xie, S.-P., Initialized Earth System prediction from subseasonal to decadal timescalesNat Rev Earth Environ, doi: 10.1038/s43017-021-00155-x, 2021.
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Mann, M.E., Hall, L.J., Dulvy, N., Scientific Impact in a Changing World, Cell  (“Voices”), 184, 407-408, 2021.
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Mann, M.E., Steinman, B.A., Brouillette, D.J.., Miller, S.K., Multidecadal Climate Oscillations During the Past Millennium Driven by Volcanic ForcingScience, 371, 1014–1019, 2021.
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Cheng, L., Abraham, J.P., Trenberth, K.E., Fasullo, J., Boyer, T., Locarnini, R., Zhang, B., Yu, F., Wan, L., Chen, X., Song, X., Liu, Y, Mann, M.E., Zhu, J., Upper Ocean Temperatures Hit Record High in 2020Advances in Atmospheric Sciencesdoi:10.1007/s00376-021-0447-x, 2021.
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Mann, M.E.From Climate Scientist to Climate Communicator: A Process of Evolution, in “Standing up for a Sustainable World: Voices of Change”,  Claude Henry, Johan Rockström, and Nicholas Stern (Eds.), Edward Elgar Publishing, 5 pp, 2020.

Cheng, L., Trenberth, K.E., Gruber, J., Abraham, J.P., Fasullo, J.T., Li., G., Mann, M.E., Zhao, X., Zhu, J., Improved estimates of changes in upper ocean salinity and the hydrological cycleJ. Climate, 33, 10357–10381, 2020.
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Li, G., Cheng, L., Abraham, J.P., Zhu, J., Trenberth, K.E., Mann, M.E., Abraham, J.P., Increasing ocean stratification over the past half-centuryNature Climate Change, doi: 10.1038/s41558-020-00918-2, 2020. [altmetric]

Konapala, L., Mishra, A.K., Wada. Y., Mann, M.E.Climate change will affect global water availability through compounding changes in seasonal precipitation and evaporation, Nature Communications, 11, 3044, doi:10.1038/s41467-020-16757-w, 2020.
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Cheng, L., Abraham, J.P., Zhu, J., Trenberth, K.E., Fasullo, J., Boyer, T., Locarnini, R., Zhang, B., Yu, F., Wan, L., Chen, X., Song, X., Liu, Y., Mann, M.E.Record-setting Ocean Warmth Continued in 2019Advances in Atmospheric Science 37, 137-142, 2020.
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Mann, M.E., Steinman, B.A., Miller, S.K., Absence of Internal Multidecadal and Interdecadal Oscillations in Climate Model SimulationsNature Communications 11, 49, doi:10.1038/s41467-019-13823-w, 2020.
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Post, E., Alley, R.B., Christensen, T.R., Macias-Fauria, M., Forbes, B.C., Gooseff, M.N., Iler, A., Kerby, J.T., Laidre, K.L., Mann, M.E., Olofsson, J., Stroeve, J.C., Ulmer, F., Virginia, R.A., Wang, M., The Polar Regions in a 2oC warmer worldScience Advances, 5, eaaw9883 doi: 10.1126/sciadv.aaw9883, 2019.
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Fick, D.M., Kolanowski, A.M., McDermott Levy, R.., Mann, M.E.Addressing the Health Risks of Climate Change in Older AdultsJournal of Gerontological Nursing, 45, 21-29, 2019.
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Mann, M.E.Radical reform and the Green New DealNature, 573, 340-341, 2019.
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Verbitsky, M..Y., Mann, M.E., Steinman, B.A., Volobuev, D.M., Detecting causality signal in instrumental measurements and climate model simulations: global warming case studyGeosci. Model Dev., 12, 4053–4060, doi: 10.5194/gmd-12-4053-2019, 2019.
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Hagedorn, G., Kalmus, P., Mann, M., Vicca, S., Van den Berge, J., van Ypersele, J.-P., Bourg, D., Rotmans, J., Karronen, R., Rahmstorf, S., Kromp-Kolb, H., Kirchengast, G., Knutti, R., Seneviratne, S.I., Thalmann, P., Cretney, R., Green, A., Anderson, K., Hedberg, M., Nilsson, D., Kuttner, A., Hayhoe, K., Concerns of Young Protestors are JustifiedScience, 364, 139-140, 2019.
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Hoegh-Guldberg, O., Skirving, W., Lough, J., Liu, C., Mann, M.E., Donner, S., Eakin, M., Cantin, N., Miller, S., Heron, S.F., Dove, S. Commentary: Reconstructing Four Centuries of Temperature-Induced Coral Bleaching on the Great Barrier ReefFrontiers in Marine Science doi: 10.3389/fmars.2019.00086, 2019.
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Mann, M.E.The Weather AmplifierScientific American, 320, 43-49, 2019.

Lewandowsky, S., Cowtan, K., Risbey, J.S., Mann, M.E., Steinman, B.A., Oreskes, N., Rahmstorf, S., The “pause” in global warming in historical context: Comparing models to observations, Environ. Res. Lett., 13, 123007, 2018.
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Walker, A.M., Titley, D.W., Mann, M.E., Najjar, R.G., Miller, S.K., Steinman, B.A., A Fiscally Based Scale for Tropical Cyclone Storm Surge, Weather and Forecasting, 33, 1709-1733, 2018.
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Mann, M.E., Rahmstorf, S., Kornhuber, K., Steinman, B.A., Miller, S.K., Coumou, D., Projected changes in persistent extreme summer weather events: The role of quasi-resonant amplificationScience Advances, 4:eaat3272, 2018.
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Li, M., Kump, L., Hinnov, L.A., Mann, M.E., Tracking variable sedimentation rates and astronomical forcing in Phanerozoic paleoclimate proxy series with evolutionary correlation coefficients and hypothesis testing, Earth Planet Sci. Lett., 501, 165-179, 2018.
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Frankcombe, L.M., England, M.H., Kajtar, J.B., Mann, M.E., Steinman, B.A., On the Choice of Ensemble Mean for Estimating the Forced Signal in the Presence of Internal VariabilityJ. Climate, 31, 5681-5693, 2018.
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Restrepo, J.M., Mann, M.E.Uncertainty in Climate Science: Not Cause for InactionSociety of Industrial and Applied Mathematics News, 51, p. 1, 5, 2018.

Sinha, P., Mann, M.E., Fuentes, J.D., Mejia, A., Ning, L., Weiyi, S., He, T., Obeysekera, J., Downscaled rainfall projections in south Florida using self organizing maps,  variabilityScience of the Total Environment, 635, 1110-1123, 2018.
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Harvey, J.A., van den Berg, D., Ellers, J., Kampen, R., Crowther, T.W., Roessingh, P., Verheggen, B., Nuijten, R.J.M., Post, E., Lewandowsky, S., Stirling, I., Balgopal, M., Amstrup, S.C., Mann, M.E.Internet blogs, Polar Bears, and Climate Change Denial by ProxyBioscience, 68, 281-287, 2018.
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Schurer, A., Cowtan, K., Hawkins, E., Mann, M.E., Scott, V., Tett, S.F.B., Interpreting the Paris Climate TargetNature Geoscience, 1752-0908, doi:10.1038/s41561-018-0086-8, 2018.
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Post, E., Steinman, B.A., Mann, M.E.Rates of phenological advance and warming have increased with latitude in the Northern Hemisphere over the past centuryScientific Reports 8, 3297, 2018.
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Garner, A., Kopp, R.E., Horton, B.P., Mann, M.E., Alley, R.B., Emanuel, K.A., Lin, N., Donnelly, J.P., Kemp, A.C., DeConto, R.M., Pollard, D., New York City’s evolving flood risk from hurricanes and sea level rise, Variations/Exchanges, U.S. CLIVAR, 16, 30-35, Winter 2018.

Mann, M.E.Time for a Different StoryNew Scientist, p. 22-23, Feb. 24, 2018.

Cheung, A.H., Mann, M.E., Steinman, B.A., Frankcombe, L.M., England, M.H., Miller, S.K., Reply to Comment on “Comparison of low-frequency internal climate variability in CMIP5 models and observations” by KratsovJ. Climate, 30, 9773-9782, 2017.
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Garner, A.J., Mann, M.E., Emanuel, K.A., Kopp, R.E., Lin, N., Alley, R.B., Horton, B.P., DeConto, R.M. Donnelly, J.P., Pollard, D., The Impact of Climate Change on New York City’s Coastal Flood Hazard: Increasing Flood Heights from the Pre-Industrial to 2300 CEProc. Natl. Acad. Sci., 114, 11861-11866, 2017.
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Lewandowsky, S., Freeman, M.C., Mann, M.E.Harnessing the uncertainty monster: Putting quantitative constraints on the intergenerational social discount rateGlobal and Planetary Change, 156, 155–166, 2017.
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Mann, M.E., Lloyd, E.A., Oreskes, N., Assessing Climate Change Impacts on Extreme Weather Events: The Case For an Alternative (Bayesian) ApproachClimatic Change, 144, 131-142, 2017.
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Mann, M.E., Miller, S.K., Rahmstorf, S., Steinman, B.A., Tingley M., Record Temperature Streak Bears Anthropogenic FingerprintGeophys Res. Lett., 44, doi:10.1002/2017GL074056, 2017.
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Mann, M.E., review of The Demon-Haunted World: Science as a Candle in the Dark, in Summer BooksNature, 546, 28-29, 2017.

Mann, M.E.Al Gore gets inconvenient againNature, 546, 400-401, 2017.
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Schurer, A.P., Mann, M.E., Hawkins, E., Hegerl, G.C., Tett, S.F.B., Importance of the pre-Industrial baseline for likelihood of exceeding Paris goalsNature Climate Change, 7, 563-567, 2017.
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Abraham, J.P., Cheng, L., Mann, M.E.,  Future Climate Projections Allow Engineering PlanningForensic Engineering, 170, 54-57, 2017.
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Santer, B.D., Fyfe, J.C., Pallotta, G., Flato, G.M., Meehl, G.A., England, M.H., Hawkins, E., Mann, M.E., Painter, J.F., Bonfils, C., Cvijanovic, I., Meers, C., Wentz, F.J., Po-Chedley, S., Qiang, F., Zou, C.-Z.,  Investigating the Causes of Differences in Model and Satellite Tropospheric Warming RatesNature Geoscience, 10, 478-485, 2017.
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Cheung, A.H., Mann, M.E., Steinman, B.A., Frankcombe, L.M., England, M.H., Miller, S.K., Comparison of Low Frequency Internal Climate Variability in CMIP5 Models and ObservationsJ. Climate, 30, 4763-4776, 2017.
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Grajal, A, Luebke, J.F., Clayton, S., Saunders, C.D., Kelly, L-A, Matiasek, J., Stanoss, R., Goldman, S.D., Mann, M.E., Karazsia, B.T.,  A complex relationship between personal affective connections to animals and self-reported pro-environmental behaviors by zoo visitorsConservation Biology, 31, 322-330, 2017.
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Mann, M.E., Rahmstorf, S., Kornhuber, K., Steinman, B.A., Miller, S.K., Coumou, D., Influence of Anthropogenic Climate Change on Planetary Wave Resonance and Extreme Weather EventsScientific Reports, 7, 19831, 2017.
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Mann, M.E., Joy-Hassol, S., Climate Trumps EverythingScientific American, 316, 8, 2017.

Bateman, T.S., Mann, M.E.The supply of climate leaders must growNature Climate Change, 6, 1052-1054, 2016.
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Mann, M.E., Oreskes, N., Emanuel, K.A., AGU Should Sever Its Ties with ExxonMobilEos, 97, 8-9, doi:10.1029/2016EO061455, 2016.

Lewandowsky, S., Mann, M.E., Brown, N.J.L., Friedman, H., Science and the Public: Debate, Denial, and SkepticismJournal of Social and Political Psychology, 4, 1-99, doi:10.5964/jspp.v4i2.604, 2016.
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Zhang, F., Li, W. Mann, M.E.Limits to Regional-scale Climate Predictability over North AmericaAdvances in Atmospheric Sciences, 33, 905-918, 2016.
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Mann, M.E., Steinman, B., Miller, S.K., Frankcombe, L., England, M., Cheung, A.H., Predictability of the Recent Slowdown and Subsequent Recovery of Large-Scale Surface Warming using Statistical Methods, Geophys. Res. Lett., 43, 3459-3467, 2016.
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Fyfe, J.C, Meehl, G.A., England, M.H., Mann, M.E., Santer, B.D., Flato, G.M., Hawkins, E., Gillet, N.P., Xie, S.-P., Kosaka, Y., Swart, N.C., Making sense of the early-2000s global warming slowdownNature Climate Change, 6, 224-228, 2016.
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Mann, M.E.Must Try HarderNew Scientist, p. 29-30, Feb 20, 2016.

Mann, M.E., Rahmstorf, S., Steinman, B.A., Tingley, M., Miller, S.K., The Likelihood of Recent Record WarmthScientific Reports, 6, 19831, 2016.
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Steinman, B.A. Frankcombe, L.M., Mann, M.E., Miller, S.K., England, M.H., Response to Comment on “Atlantic and Pacific multidecadal oscillations and Northern Hemisphere temperatures”Science, 350, 1326, 2015.
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Mann, M.E.Two Degrees of FreedomScientific American, 313, 12, 2015.
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Lindeman, K.C., Dame, L.E., Avenarius, C.B., Horton, B.P., Donnelly, J.P., Corbett, D.R., Kemp, A.C., Lane, P., Mann, M.E., and Peltier, W.R., Science needs for sea-level adaptation planning: comparisons among three U.S. Atlantic coast regionsCoastal Management, 43, 555-574, 2015.
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Reed, A.J., Mann, M.E., Emanuel, K.A., Lin, N., Horton, B., Kemp, A.C., Donnelly, J.P., Increased threat of tropical cyclones and coastal flooding to New York City during the anthropogenic eraProc. Nat. Acad. Sci., 112, 12610-12615, 2015.
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Frankcombe, L.M., England, M.H., Mann, M.E., Steinman, B.A., Separating internal variability from the externally forced climate responseJ. Climate, 28, 8184-8202, 2015.
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Cowtan, K., Hausfather, Z., Hawkins, E., Jacobs, P., Mann, M.E., Miller, S.K., Steinman, B.A., Stolpe, M.B., Way, R.G., Robust comparison of climate models with observations using blended land air and ocean sea surface temperaturesGeophys. Res. Lett. 42, 6526–6534, doi:10.1002/2015GL064888, 2015.
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Reed, A.J., Mann, M.E., Emanuel, K.A., Titley, D.W., An analysis of long-term relationships among count statistics and metrics of synthetic tropical cyclones downscaled from CMIP5 modelsJ. Geophys. Res. 120, 7506-7519, doi:10.1002/2015JD023357, 2015.
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Oreskes, N., Carlat, D., Mann, M.E., Thacker, P.D., vom Saal, F.S., Why Disclosure MattersEnvironmental Science & Technology, 49, 7527-7528, 2015.
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Halpern, M., Mann, M.Transparency Versus Harassment (editorial), Science, 479, 348, 2015.
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Mann, M.E., Gleick, P.H., Climate Change and California Drought in the 21st CenturyProc. Nat. Acad. Sci., 112, 3858-3859, 2015.
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Rahmstorf, S., Box, J., Feulner, G., Mann, M.E., Robinson, A., Rutherford, S., Schaffernicht, E., Exceptional 20th-Century slowdown in Atlantic Ocean overturningNature Climate Change, 5, 475–480, 2015.
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Ross, A.C., Najjar, R.G., Li, M., Mann, M.E., Ford, S.E., Katz, B., Influences on decadal-scale variations of salinity in a coastal plain estuaryEstuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science, 157, 79-92, 2015.
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Steinman, B.A., Mann, M.E., Miller, S.K., Atlantic and Pacific multidecadal oscillations and Northern Hemisphere temperaturesScience, 347, 998-991, 2015.
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Mann, M.E.The Serengeti strategy: How special interests try to intimidate scientists, and how best to fight backBulletin of the Atomic Scientists, 71, 33-45, 2015.
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Paaijmans, K.P., Blanford, J.I., Crane, R.G., Mann, M.E., Ning, L., Schreiber, K.V., Thomas M.B.,Downscaling reveals diverse effects of anthropogenic climate warming on the potential for local environments to support malaria transmissionClimatic Change, 125, 479-488, 2014.
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Rutherford, S., Mann, M.E.Missing tree rings and the AD 774-775 radiocarbon eventNature Climate Change, 4, 648-649, 2014.
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Mann, M.E., Steinman, B.A., Miller, S.K., On Forced Temperature Changes, Internal Variability and the AMOGeophys. Res. Lett. (“Frontier” article), 41, 3211-3219, doi:10.1002/2014GL059233, 2014.
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Singh, R., Wagener, T., Crane, R., Mann, M.E., Ning, L., A vulnerability driven approach to identify adverse climate and land use change combinations for critical hydrologic indicator thresholds – Application to a watershed in Pennsylvania, USAWat. Res. Res., 50, 3409-3427, doi:10.1002/2013WR014988, 2014.
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Steinman, B.A., Abbott, M.B., Mann, M.E., Ortiz, J.D., Feng, S., Pompeani, D.P., Stansell, N.D., Anderson, L., Finney, B.P., Bird, B.W., Ocean-atmosphere forcing of centennial hydroclimate variability in the Pacific NorthwestGeophys. Res. Lett., 41, 2553-2560, doi:10.1002/2014GL059499, 2014.
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Mann, M.E.False Hope: The rate of global temperature rise may have hit a plateau, but a climate crisis still looms in the near futureScientific American, 310, 78-81, 2014.
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Schmidt, G.A., Annan, J.D., Bartlein, P.J., Cook, B.I., Guilyardi, E., Hargreaves, J.C., Harrison, S.P., Kageyama, M., LeGrande, A.N., Konecky, B., Lovejoy, S., Mann, M.E., Masson-Delmotte, V., Risi, C., Thompson, D., Timmermann, A., Tremblay, L.-B., Yiou, P., Using paleo-climate comparisons to constrain future projections in CMIP5Climate of the Past, 10, 221-250, 2014.
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Sriver, R.L., Timmermann, A., Mann, M.E., Keller, K., Goosse, H., Improved representation of tropical Pacific ocean-atmosphere dynamics in an intermediate complexity climate modelJ. Climate, 27, 168-187, 2014.

Kozar, M.E., Mann, M.E., Emanuel, K.A., Evans, J.L., Long-term Variations of North Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Activity Downscaled from a Coupled Model Simulation of the Last MillenniumJ. Geophys. Res., 118, 13383-13392, doi:10.1002/2013JD020380, 2013.
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Lewandowsky, S., Mann, M.E., Bauld, L., Hastings, G., Loftus, E.F., The Subterranean War on ScienceThe Observer (Association for Psychological Science), 26, 9, 2013.
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Mann, M.E., Rutherford, S., Schurer, A., Tett, S.F.B.,Fuentes, J.D., Discrepancies between the modeled and proxy-reconstructed response to volcanic forcing over the past millennium: Implications and possible mechanismsJ. Geophys. Res. 118, 7617-7627, doi:10.1002/jgrd.50609, 2013.
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Schurer, A., Hegerl, G., Mann, M.E., Tett, S.F.B., Separating forced from chaotic climate variability over the past millenniumJ. Climate, 26, 6954-6973, 2013.
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Rutherford, S.D., Mann, M.E., Wahl, E., Ammann, C., Comment on: “Erroneous Model Field Representations in Multiple Pseudoproxy Studies: Corrections and Implications” by Jason E. Smerdon, Alexey Kaplan and Daniel E. AmrheinJ. Climate, 26, 3482-3484, 2013.
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Emile-Geay, J., Cobb, K.M., Mann, M.E., Wittenberg, A.T., Estimating Central Equatorial Pacific SST variability over the Past Millennium. Part 2: Reconstructions and UncertaintiesJ. Climate, 26, 2329-2352, 2013.
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Emile-Geay, J., Cobb, K.M., Mann, M.E., Wittenberg, A.T., Estimating Central Equatorial Pacific SST variability over the Past Millennium. Part 1: Methodology and ValidationJ. Climate, 26, 2302-2328, 2013.
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Feng, S., Hu, Q., Wu, Q., Mann, M.E.A Gridded Reconstruction of Warm Season Precipitation for Asia Spanning the Past Half MillenniumJ. Climate, 26, 2192-2204, 2013.
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Blanford J.I., Blanford S., Crane R.G., Mann, M.E., Paaijmans K.P., Schreiber, K.V., Thomas, M.B., Implications of temperature variation for malaria parasite development across AfricaScientific Reports, 3, 1300, doi:10.1038/srep01300, 2013.
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Mann, M.E., Fuentes, J.D., Rutherford, S. Reply to “Tree-Rings and Volcanic Cooling”Nature Geoscience, 5, 837-838, 2012.
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Goosse, H., Crespin, E., Dubinkina, S., Loutre, M., Mann, M.E., Renssen, H., Sallaz-Damaz, Y., Shindell, D.,The role of forcing and internal dynamics in explaining the “Medieval Climate Anomaly”Climate Dynamics, 39, 2847-2866, 2012.
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Kozar, M.E., Mann, M.E., Camargo, S.J., Kossin, J.P., Evans, J.L., Stratified statistical models of North Atlantic basin-wide and regional tropical cyclone countsJ. Geophys. Res., 117, D18103, doi:10.1029/2011JD017170, 2012.
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Ning, L., Mann, M.E., Crane, R., Wagener, T., Najjar, R.G., Singh, R., Probabilistic Projections of Anthropogenic Climate Change Impacts on Precipitation for the Mid-Atlantic Region of the United StatesJ. Climate, 25, 5273-5291, 2012.

Steinman, B.A., Abbott, M.B., Mann, M.E., Stansell, N.D., Finney, B.P, 1500 year quantitative reconstruction of winter precipitation in the Pacific NorthwestProc. Nat. Acad. Sci., 109, 11619-11623, 2012.
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Fan, F., Mann, M.E., Lee., S, Evans, J.L., Future Changes in the South Asian Summer Monsoon: An Analysis of the CMIP3 Multi-Model ProjectionsJ. Climate, 25, 3909-3928, 2012.
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Mann, M.E., Fuentes, J.D., Rutherford, S., Underestimation of Volcanic Cooling in Tree-Ring Based Reconstructions of Hemispheric TemperaturesNature Geoscience, 5, 202-205, 2012.
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Goosse, H., Crespin, E., Dubinkina, S., Loutre, M., Mann, M.E., Renssen, H., Sallaz-Damaz, Y., Shindell, D.,The medieval climate anomaly in Europe: Comparison of the summer and annual mean signals in two reconstructions and in simulations with data assimilationGlobal and Planetary Change, 84-85, 35-47, 2012.
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Ning, L., Mann, M.E., Crane, R., Wagener, T., Probabilistic Projections of Climate Change for the Mid-Atlantic Region of the United States – Validation of Precipitation Downscaling During the Historical EraJ. Climate, 25, 509-526, 2012.
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Singh, R., Wagener, T., Van Werkhoven, K., Mann, M.E., Crane, R., A trading-space-for-time approach to probabilistic continuous streamflow predictions in a changing climate — accounting for changing watershed behaviorHydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 15, 1-13, 2011.

Diaz, H.F., Trigo, R., Hughes, M.K., Mann, M.E., Xoplaki, E., Barriopedro, D., Spatial and temporal characteristics of climate in medieval times revisited, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 92, 1487-1500 2011.
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Katz, B., Najjar, R.G., Cronin, T., Rayburn, J., Mann, M.E.Constraints on Lake Agassiz discharge through the late-glacial Champlain Sea (St. Lawrence Lowlands, Canada) using salinity proxies and an estuarine circulation modelQuat. Sci. Rev., 30, 3248-3257, 2011.

Kemp, A.C., Horton, B.P., Donnelly, J.P., Mann, M.E., Vermeer, M., Rahmstorf, S., Reply to Grinsted et al.: Estimating land subsidence in North CarolinaProc. Natl. Acad. Sci., 108, E783, 2011.

Mann, M.E.On long range dependence in global surface temperature series: An editorial commentClimatic Change, 107, 267-276, 2011.
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Kemp, A.C., Horton, B.P., Donnelly, J.P., Mann, M.E., Vermeer, M., Rahmstorf, S., Climate related sea-level variations over the past two millenniaProc. Natl. Acad. Sci., 108, 11017-11022, 2011.
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Schmidt, G.A., Mann, M.E., Rutherford, S.D., A comment on “A statistical analysis of multiple temperature proxies: Are reconstructions of surface temperatures over the last 1000 years reliable?” by McShane and WynerAnn. Appl. Stat., 5, 65-70, 2011.
[supplement] [altmetric]

Bowman, T.E., Maibach, E., Mann, M.E., Somerville, R.C.J., Seltser, B.J., Fischhoff, B., Gardiner, S.M., Gould, R.J., Leiserowitz, A., Yohe, G., Time to Take Action on Climate CommunicationScience, 330, 1044, 2010.
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Sriver, R.L., Goes, M., Mann, M.E., Keller, K., Climate response to tropical cyclone-induced ocean mixing in an Earth system model of intermediate complexityJ. Geophys. Res., 115, C10042, doi:10.1029/2010JC006106, 2010.
[altmetric]

Fan, F., Mann, M.E., Lee., S, Evans, J.L., Observed and Modeled Changes in the South Asian Summer Monsoon over the Historical PeriodJ. Climate, 23, 5193-5205, 2010.
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Rutherford, S.D, Mann, M.E., Ammann, C.M., Wahl, E.R., Comment on: “A surrogate ensemble study of climate reconstruction methods: Stochasticity and robustness” by Christiansen, Schmith and Thejll.J. Climate, 23, 2832-2838, 2010.

Foster, G., Annan, J.D., Jones, P.D., Mann, M.E., Mullan, B., Renwick, J., Salinger, J., Schmidt, G.A., Trenberth, K.E., Comment on “Influence of the Southern Oscillation on tropospheric temperature” by J. D. McLean, C. R. de Freitas, and R. M. Carter.J. Geophys. Res., 115, D09110, doi:10.1029/2009JD012960, 2010.
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Goosse, H., Crespin, E., de Montety, A., Mann, M.E., Renssen, H., Timmermann, A., Reconstructing surface temperature changes over the past 600 years using climate model simulations with data assimilationJ. Geophys. Res., 115, D09108, doi:10.1029/2009JD012737, 2010.

Mann, M.E., Zhang, Z., Rutherford, S., Bradley, R.S., Hughes, M.K., Shindell, D., Ammann, C., Faluvegi, G., Ni, F., Global Signatures and Dynamical Origins of the Little Ice Age and Medieval Climate Anomaly, Science, 326, 1256-1260, 2009.
[supplement] [altmetric]

Mann, M.E., Woodruff, J.D., Donnelly, J.P., Zhang, Z., Atlantic hurricanes and climate over the past 1,500 yearsNature, 460, 880-883, 2009.
[supplement] [altmetric]

Crespin, E., Goosse, H., Fichefet, T., Mann, M.E.The 15th century Arctic warming in coupled model simulations with data assimilationClimate of the Past, 5, 389-405, 2009.
[altmetric]

Bowman, T.E., Maibach, E., Mann, M.E., Moser, S.C., Somerville, R.C.J., Creating a common climate languageScience, 324, 37, 2009.
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Mann, M.E.Do Global Warming and Climate Change Represent a Serious Threat to our Welfare and EnvironmentSocial Philosophy and Policy, 26, 389-405, 2009.

Malone, R.W., Meek, D.W., Hatfield, J.L., Mann, M.E., Jaquis, R.J., Ma, L., Quasi-Biennial Corn Yield Cycles in IowaAgricultural and Forest Meteorology, 149, 1087-1094, 2009.

Fan, F., Mann, M.E., Ammann, C.M., Understanding Changes in the Asian Summer Monsoon over the Past Millennium: Insights From a Long-Term Coupled Model SimulationJ. Climate, 22, 1736-1748, 2009.
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Mann, M.E., Schmidt, G.A., Miller, S.K., LeGrande, A.N., Potential biases in inferring Holocene temperature trends from long-term borehole informationGeophys. Res. Lett., 36, L05708, doi:10.1029/2008GL036354, 2009.
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Mann, M.E.Defining Dangerous Anthropogenic InterferenceProc. Natl. Acad. Sci., 106, 4065-4066, 2009.
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Mann, M.E., Bradley, R.S., Hughes, M.K., Reply to McIntyre and McKitrick: Proxy-based temperature reconstructions are robustProc. Natl. Acad. Sci., 106, E11, 2009.
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Steig, E.J., Schneider, D.P. Rutherford, S.D., Mann, M.E., Comiso, J.C., Shindell, D.T., Warming of the Antarctic ice sheet surface since the 1957 International Geophysical YearNature, 1457, 459-463, 2009.
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[Corrigendum (Steig et al, 2009)]

Jones, P.D., Briffa, K.R., Osborn, T.J., Lough, J.M., van Ommen, T.D., Vinther, B.M., Luterbacher, J., Wahl, E.R., Zwiers, F.W., Mann, M.E., Schmidt, G.A., Ammann, C.M., Buckley, B.M., Cobb, K.M., Esper, J., Goosse, H., Graham, N., Jansen, E., Kiefer, T, Kull, C., Kuttel, M., Mosely-Thompson, E., Overpeck, J.T., Riedwyl, N., Schulz, M., Tudhope, A.W., Villalba, R., Wanner, H., Wolff, E., Xoplaki, E., High-resolution paleoclimatology of the last millennium: a review of current status and future prospectsHolocene, 19, 3-49, 2009.
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Wei, F., Xie, Y., Mann, M.E. Probabilistic trend of anomalous summer rainfall in Beijing: Role of interdecadal variabilityJ. Geophys. Res., 113, D20106, doi:10.1029/2008JD010111, 2008.

Rutherford, S., Mann, M.E., Wahl, E., Ammann, C., Reply to: “Comment on ‘Robustness of proxy-based climate field reconstruction methods’, by Mann et al.”J. Geophys. Res., 113, D18107, doi:10.1029/2008JD009964, 2008.
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Mann, M.E., Zhang, Z., Hughes, M.K., Bradley, R.S., Miller, S.K., Rutherford, S., Proxy-Based Reconstructions of Hemispheric and Global Surface Temperature Variations over the Past Two Millennia, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci., 105, 13252-13257, 2008.
[supplement] [altmetric]

Mann, M.E.Smoothing of Climate Time Series RevisitedGeophys. Res. Lett., 35, L16708, doi:10.1029/2008GL034716, 2008.
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Foster, G., Annan, J.D., Schmidt, G.A., Mann, M.E.Comment on “Heat Capacity, Time Constant, and Sensitivity of Earth’s Climate System” by S. E. SchwartzJ. Geophys. Res., 113, L22707, D15102, doi: 10.1029/2007JD009373, 2008.
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Mann, M.E., Sabbatelli, T.A., Neu, U., Evidence for a Modest Undercount Bias in Early Historical Atlantic Tropical Cyclone CountsGeophys. Res. Lett., 34, L22707, doi:10.1029/2007GL031781, 2007.
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Delworth, T.L., Zhang, R., Mann, M.E.Decadal to Centennial Variability of the Atlantic from Observations and Models, in Past and Future Changes of the Oceans Meridional Overturning Circulation: Mechanisms and Impacts, A. Schmittner, J. C. H. Chiang, and S.R. Hemming (eds), Geophysical Monograph Series 173, American Geophysical Union, 131-148, 2007.
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Mann, M.E., Rutherford, S., Wahl, E., Ammann, C., Reply to Comments on “Testing the Fidelity of Methods Used in Proxy-based Reconstructions of Past Climate” by Smerdon and KaplanJ. Climate, 20, 5671-5674, 2007.
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Sabbatelli, T.A., Mann, M.E.The Influence of Climate State Variables on Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Occurrence RatesJ. Geophys. Res., 112, D17114, doi: 10.1029/2007JD008385, 2007.
[supplement]

Mann, M.E., Emanuel, K.A., Holland, G.J., Webster, P.J., Atlantic Tropical Cyclones RevisitedEos, 88, 36, p. 349-350, 2007.
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Mann, M.E., Rutherford, S., Wahl, E., Ammann, C., Reply to Comments on “Testing the Fidelity of Methods Used in Proxy-based Reconstructions of Past Climate” by Zorita et alJ. Climate, 20, 3699-3703, 2007.
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Mann, M.E., Rutherford, S., Wahl, E., Ammann, C., Robustness of Proxy-Based Climate Field Reconstruction MethodsJ. Geophys. Res., 112, D12109, doi: 10.1029/2006JD008272, 2007.
[supplement] [altmetric]

Mann, M.E.Climate Over the Past Two MillenniaAnnual Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences, 35, 111-136, 2007.
[electronic reprint in html or pdf format (personal use only)]

Mann, M.E., Briffa, K.R., Jones, P.D., Kiefer, T., Kull, C., Wanner, H., Past Millennia Climate Variability, Eos, 87, 526-527, 2006.

Goosse, H., Arzel, O., Luterbacher, J., Mann, M.E., Renssen, H., Riedwyl, N., Timmermann, A., Xoplaki, E., Wanner, H., The origin of the European “Medieval Warm Period”Climate of the Past, 2, 99-113, 2006.
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Goosse, H., Renssen, H., Timmermann, A., Bradley, R.S., Mann, M.E.Using paleoclimate proxy-data to select optimal realisations in an ensemble of simulations of the climate of the past millenniumClimate Dynamics, 27, 165-184, 2006.

Mann, M.E., Emanuel, K.A., Atlantic Hurricane Trends linked to Climate ChangeEos, 87, 24, p 233, 238, 241, 2006.
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Mann, M.E.Climate Changes Over the Past Millennium: Relationships with Mediterranean ClimatesNuovo Cimento C, 29, 73-80, 2006.

Mann, M.E., Rutherford, S., Wahl, E., Ammann, C., Testing the Fidelity of Methods Used in Proxy-based Reconstructions of Past ClimateJournal of Climate, 18, 4097-4107, 2005.
[supplement] [altmetric]

Knight, J.R., Allan, R.J., Folland, C.K., Vellinga, M., Mann, M.E.A signature of persistent natural thermohaline circulation cycles in observed climateGeophysical Research Letters, 32, L20708, doi:10.1029/2005GL024233, 2005.
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Cronin, T.M., Thunell, R., Dwyer, G.S., Saenger, C., Mann, M.E., Vann, C., Seal, R.R. II, Multiproxy evidence of Holocene climate variability from estuarine sediments, eastern North AmericaPaleoceanography, 20, PA4006, doi: 10.1029/2005PA001145, 2005.
[supplement]

Rutherford, S., Mann, M.E., Osborn, T.J., Bradley, R.S., Briffa, K.R., Hughes, M.K., Jones, P.D., Proxy-based Northern Hemisphere Surface Temperature Reconstructions: Sensitivity to Methodology, Predictor Network, Target Season and Target DomainJournal of Climate, 18, 2308-2329, 2005.
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Cook, B.I., Smith, T.M., Mann, M.E.The North Atlantic Oscillation and regional phenology prediction over EuropeGlobal Change Biology, 11, 919-926, 2005.

Frauenfeld, O.W., Davis, R.E., Mann, M.E., A Distinctly Interdecadal Signal of Pacific Ocean-Atmosphere InteractionJournal of Climate, 18, 1709-1718, 2005.

Mann, M.E., Cane, M.A., Zebiak, S.E., Clement, A., Volcanic and Solar Forcing of the Tropical Pacific Over the Past 1000 YearsJournal of Climate, 18, 447-456, 2005.

D’Arrigo, R.D., Cook, E.R., Wilson, R.J., Allan, R., Mann, M.E.On the Variability of ENSO Over the Past Six Centuries, Geophysical Research Letters, 32, L03711, doi: 10.1029/2004GL022055, 2005.
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Zhang, Z., Mann, M.E., Coupled Patterns of Spatiotemporal Variability in Northern Hemisphere Sea Level Pressure and Conterminous U.S. DroughtJournal of Geophysical Research, 110, D03108, doi: 10.1029/2004JD004896, 2005.

Schmidt, G.A., Shindell, D.T., Miller, R.L., Mann, M.E., Rind, D., General Circulation Modeling of Holocene climate variabilityQuaternary Science Reviews, 23, 2167-2181, 2004.

Cook, B.I., Mann, M.E., D’Odorico, P., Smith, T.M., Statistical Simulation of the Influence of the NAO on European Winter Surface Temperatures: Applications to Phenological Modeling, Journal of Geophysical Research, 109, D16106, doi: 10.1029/2003JD004305, 2004.

Zhang, Z., Mann, M.E., Cook, E.R., Alternative methods of proxy-based climate field reconstruction: application to summer drought over the conterminous United States back to AD 1700 from tree-ring data, The Holocene, 14, 502-516, 2004.

Andronova, N.G., Schlesinger, M.E., Mann, M.E.Are Reconstructed Pre-Instrumental Hemispheric Temperatures Consistent With Instrumental Hemispheric Temperatures?, Geophysical Research Letters, 31, L12202, doi: 10.1029/2004GL019658, 2004.
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Jones, P.D., Mann, M.E.Climate Over Past Millennia, Reviews of Geophysics, 42, RG2002, doi: 10.1029/2003RG000143, 2004.
[supplement] [altmetric]

Mann, M.E.On Smoothing Potentially Non-Stationary Climate Time Series, Geophysical Research Letters, 31, L07214, doi: 10.1029/2004GL019569, 2004.
[supplement] [altmetric]

Schmidt, G.A., Mann, M.E.Reply to comment on “Ground vs. surface air temperature trends: Implications for borehole surface temperature reconstructions” by D. Chapman et al., Geophysical Research Letters, 31, L07206, doi: 10.1029/2003GL0119144, 2004.

L’Heureux, M.L., Mann, M.E., Cook B.I., Gleason, B.E., Vose, R.S., Atmospheric Circulation Influences on Seasonal Precipitation Patterns in Alaska during the latter 20th Century, Journal of Geophysical Research, 109, D06106, doi:10.1029/2003JD003845, 2004.
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Shindell, D.T., Schmidt, G.A., Mann, M.E., Faluvegi, G., Dynamic winter climate response to large tropical volcanic eruptions since 1600Journal of Geophysical Research, 109, D05104, doi: 10.1029/2003JD004151, 2004.
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Adams, J.B., Mann, M.E., D’Hondt, S., The Cretaceous-Tertiary extinction: Modeling carbon flux and ecological responsePaleoceanography, 19, PA1002, doi: 10.1029/2002PA000849, 2004.
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Shindell, D.T., Schmidt, G.A., Miller, R.L., Mann, M.E.Volcanic and Solar Forcing of Climate Change during the Preindustrial EraJournal of Climate, 16, 4094-4107, 2003.
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Adams, J.B., Mann, M.E., Ammann, C.M., Proxy Evidence for an El Nino-like Response to Volcanic ForcingNature, 426, 274-278, 2003.
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Mann, M.E., Ammann, C.M., Bradley, R.S., Briffa, K.R., Crowley, T.J., Hughes, M.K., Jones, P.D., Oppenheimer, M., Osborn, T.J., Overpeck, J. T., Rutherford, S., Trenberth, K.E., Wigley, T.M.L., Response to Comment on ‘On Past Temperatures and Anomalous Late 20th Century Warmth’Eos, 84, 473, 2003.

Mann, M.E.Paleoclimate, Global Change, and the Future (book review)Eos, 84, 419-420, 2003.

Mann, M.E., Jones, P.D., Global surface temperature over the past two millenniaGeophysical Research Letters, 30 (15), 1820, doi: 10.1029/2003GL017814, 2003.
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Mann, M.E., Ammann, C.M., Bradley, R.S., Briffa, K.R., Crowley, T.J., Hughes, M.K., Jones, P.D., Oppenheimer, M., Osborn, T.J., Overpeck, J.T., Rutherford, S., Trenberth, K.E., Wigley, T.M.L., On Past Temperatures and Anomalous Late 20th Century Warmth, Eos, 84, 256-258, 2003.
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Mann, M.E., Schmidt, G.A., Ground vs. Surface Air Temperature Trends: Implications for Borehole Surface Temperature Reconstructions,Geophysical Research Letters, 30 (12), 1607, doi: 10.1029/2003GL017170, 2003.
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Andrews, J.T., Hardadottir, J., Stoner, J.S., Mann, M.E., Kristjansdottir, G.B., Koc, N., Decadal to Millennial-scale periodicities in North Iceland shelf sediments over the last 12,000 cal yrs: long-term North Atlantic oceanographic variability and Solar ForcingEarth and Planetary Science Letters, 210, 453-465, 2003.
[supplement]

D’Arrigo, R.D., Cook, E.R., Mann, M.E., Jacoby, G.C., Tree-ring reconstructions of temperature and sea-level pressure variability associated with the warm-season Arctic Oscillation since AD 1650Geophysical Research Letters, 30 (11), 1549, doi: 10.1029/2003GL017250, 2003.
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Covey, C., AchutaRao, K.M., Cubasch, U., Jones, P.D., Lambert, S.J., Mann, M.E., Philips, T.J., Taylor, K.E., An overview of results from the Coupled Model Intercomparison ProjectGlobal and Planetary Change, 37, 103-133, 2003.
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Mann, M.E., Rutherford, S., Bradley, R.S., Hughes, M.K., Keimig, F.T., Optimal Surface Temperature Reconstructions using Terrestrial Borehole DataJournal of Geophysical Research, 108 (D7), 4203, doi: 10.1029/2002JD002532, 2003.
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[Correction (Rutherford and Mann, 2004)]

Braganza, K., Karoly, D.J., Hirst, A.C., Mann, M.E., Stott, P, Stouffer, R.J., Tett, S.F.B., Simple indices of global climate variability and change: Part I – variability and correlation structureClimate Dynamics, 20, 491-502, 2003.
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Gerber, S., Joos, F., Bruegger, P.P., Stocker, T.F., Mann, M.E., Sitch, S., Constraining Temperature Variations over the last Millennium by Comparing Simulated and Observed Atmospheric CO2Climate Dynamics, 20, 281-299, 2003.
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Rutherford, S., Mann, M.E., Delworth, T.L., Stouffer, R., Climate Field Reconstruction Under Stationary and Nonstationary ForcingJournal of Climate, 16, 462-479, 2003.
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Druckenbrod, D., Mann, M.E., Stahle, D.W., Cleaveland, M.K., Therrell, M.D., Shugart, H.H., Late 18th Century Precipitation Reconstructions from James Madison’s Montpelier PlantationBulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 84, 57-71, 2003.
[supplement]

Ribera, P., Mann, M.E.ENSO related variability in the Southern Hemisphere, 1948-2000Geophysical Research Letters, 30 (1), 1006, doi: 10.1029/2002GL015818, 2003.

Ghil, M., Allen, M.R., Dettinger, M.D., Ide, K., Kondrashov, D., Mann, M.E., Robertson, A.W., Tian, Y., Varadi, F., Yiou, P., Advanced Spectral Methods for Climatic Time SeriesReviews of Geophysics, 40 (1), 1003, doi: 10.1029/2000RG000092, 2002.
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Mann, M.E. Large-Scale Climate Variability and Connections With the Middle East in Past Centuries, Climatic Change, 55, 287-314, 2002.
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Mann, M.E.The Value of Multiple ProxiesScience, 297, 1481-1482, 2002.
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Cook, E.R., D’Arrigo, R.D., Mann, M.E.A Well-Verified, Multi-Proxy Reconstruction of the Winter North Atlantic Oscillation Since AD 1400J. Climate, 15, 1754-1765, 2002.
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Mann, M.E., Rutherford, S., Climate Reconstruction Using ‘Pseudoproxies’Geophysical Research Letters, 29 (10), 1501, doi: 10.1029/2001GL014554, 2002.
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Ribera, P., Mann, M.E.Interannual variability in the NCEP Reanalysis 1948-1999Geophysical Research Letters, 29 (10), 1494, doi: 10.1029/2001GL013905, 2002.

Mann, M.E., Hughes, M.K., Tree-Ring Chronologies and Climate VariabilityScience, 296, 848, 2002.
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Waple, A., Mann, M.E., Bradley, R.S., Long-term Patterns of Solar Irradiance Forcing in Model Experiments and Proxy-based Surface Temperature ReconstructionsClimate Dynamics, 18, 563-578, 2002.
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Mann, M.E., Bradley, R.S., Briffa, K.R., Cole, J., Hughes, M.K., Jones, J.M., Overpeck, J.T., von Storch, H., Wanner, H., Weber, S.L., Widmann, M., Reconstructing the Climate of the Late HoloceneEos, 82, 553, 2001.

Bradley, R.S., Briffa, K.R., Crowley, T.J., Hughes, M.K., Jones, P.D., Mann, M.E.,Mann, M.E. Medieval Climatic OptimumEncylopedia of Global Environmental Change,John Wiley and Sons Ltd, London, UK, pp. 514-516, 2001.

Mann, M.E. Little Ice AgeEncyclopedia of Global Environmental Change, John Wiley and Sons Ltd, London, UK, pp. 504-509, 2001.

Shindell, D.T., Schmidt, G.A., Mann, M.E., Rind, D., Waple, A., Solar forcing of regional climate change during the Maunder MinimumScience, 7, 2149-2152, 2001.
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Mann, M.E.Large-scale Temperature Patterns in Past Centuries: Implications for North American Climate ChangeHuman and Ecological Risk Assessment, 7, 1247-1254, 2001.

Bradley, R.S., Briffa, K.R., Crowley, T.J., Hughes, M.K., Jones, P.D., Mann, M.E.Scope of Medieval WarmingScience, 292, 2011-2012, 2001.
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Mann, M.EClimate During the Past MillenniumWeather (invited contribution), 56, 91-101, 2001.
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Folland, C.K., Karl, T.R., Christy, J.R., Clarke, R. A., Gruza, G.V., Jouzel, J., Mann, M.E., Oerlemans, J., Salinger, M.J., Wang, S.-W., Observed Climate Variability and Change, in 2001 Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis, Houghton, J.T., et al. (eds), Cambridge Univ. Press, Cambridge, 99-181, 2001.
[External Link]

Cullen, H., D’Arrigo, R., Cook, E., and Mann, M.E.Multiproxy-based reconstructions of the North Atlantic Oscillation over the past three centuriesPaleoceanography, 15, 27-39, 2001.
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Mann, M.E., Gille, E., Bradley, R.S., Hughes, M.K., Overpeck, J.T., Keimig, F.T., Gross, W., Global Temperature Patterns in Past Centuries: An interactive presentation, Earth Interactions, 4-4, 1-29, 2000.
[External Link] [supplement] [altmetric]

Bradley, R.S., Hughes, M.K., Mann, M.E.Comments on ‘Detection and Attribution of Recent Climate Change: A Status Report’, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 81, 2987-2990, 2000.
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Mann, M.E., Bradley, R.S., Hughes, M.K., Long-term variability in the El Nino Southern Oscillation and associated teleconnections, Diaz, H.F. and Markgraf, V. (eds) El Nino and the Southern Oscillation: Multiscale Variability and its Impacts on Natural Ecosystems and Society, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, 357-412, 2000.

Delworth, T.L., and Mann, M.E.Observed and Simulated Multidecadal Variability in the Northern Hemisphere, Climate Dynamics, 16, 661-676, 2000.
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Mann, M.E.Lessons For a New Millennium, Science, 289, 253-254, 2000.
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Rittenour, T., Brigham-Grette, J., Mann, M.E.El Nino-like Climate Teleconnections in North America During the Late Pleistocene: Insights From a New England Glacial Varve ChronologyScience, 288, 1039-1042, 2000.

Park, J., Mann, M.E.Interannual Temperature Events and Shifts in Global Temperature: A Multiple Wavelet Correlation ApproachEarth Interactions, 4-001,1-36, 2000.
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Mann, M.E., Park, J, Oscillatory Spatiotemporal Signal Detection in Climate Studies: A Multiple-Taper Spectral Domain ApproachAdvances in Geophysics, 41, 1-131, 1999. (click here for version w/ color figures)
[supplement] [altmetric]

Jain, S., Lall, U., Mann, M.E.Seasonality and Interannual Variations of Variations of Northern Hemisphere Temperature: Equator-to-Pole Gradient and Land-Ocean ContrastJournal of Climate, 12, 1086-1100, 1999.

Mann, M.E., Bradley, R.S. and Hughes, M.K., Northern Hemisphere Temperatures During the Past Millennium: Inferences, Uncertainties, and LimitationsGeophysical Research Letters, 26, 759-762, 1999.
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Mann, M.E., Bradley, R.S., Hughes, M.K. and Jones, P.D., Global Temperature PatternsScience, 280, 2029-2030, 1998.
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Mann, M.E., Bradley, R.S., Hughes, M.K. Global-Scale Temperature Patterns and Climate Forcing Over the Past Six CenturiesNature, 392, 779-787, 1998.
[Corrigendum (Mann, Bradley, and Hughes, 2004)]
[supplement] [altmetric]

Rajagopalan, B., Mann, M.E., and Lall, U., A Multivariate Frequency-Domain Approach to Long-Lead Climatic ForecastingWeather and Forecasting, 13, 58-74, 1998.

Beniston, M., Pielke, R.A., Arpe, K., Keuler, K., Laprise, R., Mann, M.E., Rinke, A., Parker, D.E., Climate Modelers Meet in SwitzerlandEos, 78, 383, 1997.

Mann, M.E., Park, J., Joint Spatio-Temporal Modes of Surface Temperature and Sea Level Pressure Variability in the Northern Hemisphere During the Last CenturyJournal of Climate, 9, 2137-2162, 1996.
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Mann, M.E., Lees. J., Robust Estimation of Background Noise and Signal Detection in Climatic Time SeriesClimatic Change, 33, 409-445, 1996.
[supplement] [altmetric]

Koch, D., Mann, M.E.Spatial and Temporal Variability of 7Be Surface ConcentrationsTellus, 48B, 387-396, 1996.

Abarbanel, H., Lall, U., Moon, Y.I., Mann, M.E., Sangoyomi, T., Nonlinear dynamics and the Great Salt Lake: A Predictable Indicator of Regional ClimateEnergy, 21, 655-665, 1996.

Mann, M.E., Park, J., Greenhouse Warming and Changes in the Seasonal Cycle of Temperature: Model Versus ObservationsGeophysical Research Letters, 23, 1111-1114, 1996.
[supplement] [altmetric]

Mann, M.E., Park, J., Bradley, R.S., Global Interdecadal and Century-Scale Climate Oscillations During the Past Five CenturiesNature, 378, 266-270, 1995. [altmetric]

Lall, U., Mann, M.E.The Great Salt Lake: A Barometer of Low-Frequency Climatic VariabilityWater Resources Research, 31,2503-2515, 1995.
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Mann, M.E., Lall, U., Saltzman, B., Decadal-to-century scale climate variability: Insights into the Rise and Fall of the Great Salt LakeGeophysical Research Letters, 22, 937-940, 1995.

Marshall, S., Mann, M.E., Oglesby, R., Saltzman, B., A comparison of the CCM1-simulated climates for pre-industrial and present-day C02 levelsGlobal and Planetary Change, 10, 163-180, 1995.

Mann, M.E., Park, J., Global scale modes of surface temperature variability on interannual to century time scalesJournal of Geophysical Research, 99, 25819-25833, 1994.
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Mann, M.E., Park, J., Spatial Correlations of Interdecadal Variation in Global Surface TemperaturesGeophysical Research Letters, 20, 1055-1058, 1993.
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Ceder,G., Asta, M.,Carter, W.C.,Kraitchman,M.,de Fontaine, D., Mann, M.E., Sluiter, M., Phase diagram and low-temperature behavior of oxygen ordering in YBa2Cu3OzPhysical Review B, 41, 8698-8701, 1990.

de Fontaine, D., Mann, M.E., Ceder, G., States of Partial Order in YBa2Cu3OzPhysical Review Letters, 63, 1300-1303, 1989.

Burmester, C.P., Mann, M.E., Ceder, G., Wille, L.T., de Fontaine, D., Monte Carlo Simulation of Oxygen Ordering in YBa2Cu3OzPhysica C, 162-164, 1989.

Mann, M.E., Marshall, C.H., Haymet, A.D.J., Nematic Liquid Crystals: a Monte Carlo Simulation Study in Higher DimensionsMolecular Physics, 66, 493-507, 1989.