Professor of Political Science at The University of Pennsylvania
Articles on Civil War
“Stopping the Violence, Blocking the Peace: Dilemmas of Foreign-Imposed Nation-Building after Ethnic War” (with Kevin Russell). International Organization (forthcoming in 2021). https://www.doi.org/10.1017/S0020818321000266
“Violence Exposure and Ethnic Identification: Evidence from Kashmir” (with Gautam Nair). International Organization 73 (2): 329-363 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1017/S0020818318000498
“Political Exclusion, Lost Autonomy, and Non-Violent Separatism” (with Micha Germann). International Organization 75 (1): 178-203 (2021). http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S0020818320000557
“Sovereignty Rupture as a Central Concept in Quantitative Measures of Civil War” (with Jonah Schulhofer-Wohl). Journal of Conflict Resolution 63 (6): 1542-1578 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1177/0022002719842657
“External Intervention, Polarization, and Civil War” (with Stergios Skaperdas and William Wohlforth). Comparative Political Studies 53 (14): 2155-2182 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1177/0010414020912279
“Forecasting Civil Wars: Theory and Structure in an Age of “Big Data” and Machine Learning” (with Robert Blair). Journal of Conflict Resolution 64 (10): 1885-1915 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1177/0022002720918923.
“Why Are There So Many Civil Wars in Africa? Understanding and Preventing Violent Conflict” (with Ibrahim Elbadawi). Journal of African Economies 9 (3): 244-69 (December 2000).
“Terrorism and Civil War.” In Phillip Keefer and Norman Loayza, eds., Terrorism and Economic Development (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2008).
“The Collier-Hoeffler Model of Civil War Onset & the Case Study Project Research Design” (with Paul Collier and Anke Hoeffler). Chapter 1 in Paul Collier and Nicholas Sambanis, eds., Understanding Civil War: Evidence and Analysis (volumes 1 & 2) (Washington, DC: World Bank Publications, 2005).
“Using Case Studies to Refine and Expand the Theory of Civil War.” Chapter 9 in Paul Collier and Nicholas Sambanis, eds., Understanding Civil War: Evidence and Analysis (volumes 1 & 2) (Washington, DC: World Bank Publications, 2005).
“Bosnia’s Civil War: Origins and Violence Dynamics” (with Stathis Kalyvas). Chapter 7 in Paul Collier and Nicholas Sambanis, eds., Understanding Civil War: Evidence and Analysis (Volume 2: Europe, Central Asia, and Other Regions).
“Poverty and the Organization of Political Violence: A Review and Some Conjectures.” In Susan M. Collins and Carol Graham, eds., Brookings Trade Forum 2004 (Washington, DC: Brookings Institution, 2005), pp. 165-222.
“Understanding Civil War: A New Agenda” (with Paul Collier). Journal of Conflict Resolution 46 (1): 3-12 (February 2002). (Introduction to the special issue of the journal.)
“Addressing Conflict: Emerging Policy at the World Bank” (with Patricia Cleves and Nat Colletta) In Fen Hampson and David M. Malone (Eds.), From Reaction to Prevention: Opportunities for the UN System (Boulder, CO: Lynne Rienner, 2001).
“The Political Economy of Internal Armed Conflict in the Middle East & North Africa” (with Ellen Lust-Okar. Paper prepared for the World Bank’s Post Conflict Trust Fund; Project: Development Assistance and Conflict Vulnerability in the MNA Region: A Policy Research and Study Proposal.
“Civil Wars from 1945 to 2010: An Updated List with Some Analysis” (with Jonah Schulhofer-Wohl). June 2011.
“Spillover Effects and Civil Conflict.” January 2009.
“What is an ‘Ethnic’ War? Organization and Interests in Insurgency.” September 2007.
“The Causes of Genocide and Civil War: Are they More Similar than We Thought?” April 2003.
“Using Case Studies to Expand the Theory of Civil War.” Conflict Prevention and Reconstruction Working Paper No. 5 (150pp). May 2003. (Long version)
“External Intervention and the Duration of Civil Wars” (with Ibrahim Elbadawi), World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 2433. September 2000.
“The UN Operation in Cyprus: A New Look at the Peacekeeping-Peacemaking Relationship.” International Peacekeeping 6 (1): 79-108 (1999).