Statistical foundations of forensic science:

• Accuracy and fairness in the use of facial recognition by law enforcement (in progress)
• Forensic toolmark identification using mixed models  (in progress)
• A dataset of 3D toolmarks for applications in forensic statistics (in progress)
• The problem with exclusions in forensic comparisons (in progress)
• The prosecutor’s fallacy in the real world: A modern take using likelihood ratios (in progress)
• The scientific foundations and diagnostic challenges of Shaken Baby Syndrome/Abusive Head Trauma (SBS/AHT) (in progress)
• Towards transparent justice: Overcoming challenges in accessing legal data for empirical research (in progress)
• Incorrect statistical reasoning in Guyll et al. leads to biased claims about strength of forensic evidence (forthcoming, PNAS)
• Misuse of statistical method results in highly biased interpretation of forensic evidence in Guyll et al. (2023) (Law, Probability and Risk)
• Methodological problems in every black-box study of forensic firearm comparisons (in progress)
• An algorithm for forensic toolmark identification (FSI Synergy)
• Human and machine similarity judgments in forensic firearm comparisons (FSI Synergy)
• A probabilistic formulation of contextual bias in forensic analysis (JRSS-A)
• Implementing blind proficiency testing in forensic laboratories: Motivation, obstacles, and recommendations (FSI Synergy)
• Public beliefs about the accuracy and importance of forensic evidence in the United States (Science & Justice)
• Implementation of a blind quality control program in blood alcohol analysis (Journal of Analytical Toxicology)
• Reliability and validity of forensic science evidence (Significance)
• What does a match mean? A framework for understanding forensic comparisons (Significance)
• Association does not imply discrimination: Flawed analyses that lead to wrongful convictions (CRC Handbooks of Modern Statistical Methods)

Causal inference:

• Data visualization and applications of attribution analysis using the probability of causation (in progress)
• Mediation analysis for the probability of causation (in progress)
• Discussion of ‘Experimental evaluation of algorithm-assisted human decision-making: Application to pretrial public safety assessment’ (JRSS-A)
• A nonparametric estimator for the probability of causation (JRSS-A)
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• Causal reasoning and data analysis: Problems with the abusive head trauma diagnosis (Law, Probability and Risk)
• Short fall arguments in court: A probabilistic analysis (U.Mich.J.L.Reform)
• Causes of effects and effects of causes (Chapter in Statistics in the Public Interest, Data Sciences Book Series)

Other:

• Overdose awareness and reversal trainings at Philadelphia public libraries (American Journal of Health Promotion)
• Measuring marginal crime concentration: A new solution to an old problem (Journal of Research in Crime and Delinquency)
• Trends in underreporting of marijuana consumption in the United States (Statistics and Public Policy)

Note: I did not include the names of my co-authors here. To see the full author list, click the link to each citation.