CSCC Future of US-China Relations Project: Economic Sources of US-China Rivalry

May 1, 2020 – 12PM-11:15PM – Virtual Conference via Zoom

Arthur KroeberFounding Partner & Head of Research, Gavekal Dragonomics

Over the past five years the consensus framework for US-China relations among American policy makers has shifted from “constructive engagement” to “strategic competition.” One reason for this shift was the growing view that the economic relationship had become much more favorable to China than to the United States. In this talk Mr Kroeber will analyze the economic sources of anxiety about China, including: the shift of manufacturing production and jobs from the US to China; the belief that the World Trade Organization was no longer fit to rein in China’s discriminatory practices; fears over the impact of China’ ambitious technological-development plans; and concerns over the impact of the Belt and Road Initiative. The talk will also offer an assessment of the validity of these concerns, and an evaluation of US policy responses.

Arthur  Kroeber co-founded the China-focused research service Dragonomics in Beijing in 2002 and is the editor-in-chief of China Economic Quarterly. Since Dragonomics’ 2011 merger with Gavekal Research he has been head of research for the combined operation. Before founding Dragonomics, he was from 1987 to 2002 a journalist specializing in Asian economic affairs, and reported from China, India, Pakistan and other Asian countries. He has published widely in newspapers, magazines and academic journals, and is a fellow of the Brookings-Tsinghua Center in Beijing. 

CSCC Future of US-China Relations Project: China and its Neighbors: How Can the US Compete in an Integrating Asia?

May 8, 2020 – 12PM-11:15PM – Virtual Conference via Zoom

Evan Feigenbaum, Vice President for Studies, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace

Evan Feigenbaum will discuss geoeconomics, institutional, and strategic themes in the context of China and its Asian neighbors. He will also examine America’s future in a dynamic Asia in managing competition and avoiding conflict.

Evan Feigenbaum is the vice president for studies at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, where he oversees research in Washington, Beijing and New Delhi on a dynamic region encompassing both East Asia and South Asia. He is also the 2019-20 James R. Schlesinger Distinguished Professor at the Miller Center of Public Affairs at the University of Virginia. Initially an academic with a PhD in Chinese politics from Stanford University, Feigenbaum’s career has spanned government service, think tanks, the private sector, and three major regions of Asia.


CSCC Future of US-China Relations Project: China and its Neighbors: Human Rights in China’s COVID Crisis

May 15, 2020 – 12PM-11:15PM – Virtual Conference via Zoom

Sophie Richardson, China Director, Human Rights Watch

The world is grappling with a pandemic at least in part due to Chinese authorities’ intolerance of bad news and criticism; the impulses to censor and silence cost critical time and information.  I will try to catalog the COVID consequences for people inside China—from ordinary people in Wuhan to human rights lawyer Wang Quanzhang to the extraordinary and disturbing developments in Hong Kong.  We will also look at the fallout outside China: whether Chinese authorities’ propaganda efforts have been successful, whether there is greater global recognition of the implications of the lack of human rights inside the country, and what if anything constructive can come from newfound zeal for holding China accountable.

Sophie Richardson is the China director at Human Rights Watch. A graduate of the University of Virginia, the Hopkins-Nanjing Program, and Oberlin College, Dr. Richardson is the author of numerous articles on domestic Chinese political reform, democratization, and human rights in Cambodia, China, Indonesia, Hong Kong, the Philippines, and Vietnam. She has testified before the European Parliament and the US Senate and House of Representatives. She has provided commentary to the BBC, CNN, the Far Eastern Economic Review, Foreign Policy, National Public Radio, the New York Times, the Wall Street Journal, and the Washington Post. Dr. Richardson is the author of China, Cambodia, and the Five Principles of Peaceful Coexistence (Columbia University Press, Dec. 2009), an in-depth examination of China’s foreign policy since 1954’s Geneva Conference, including rare interviews with policy makers.


CSCC Future of US-China Relations Project: How Far Will US-China Technology Decoupling Go in the Post-Pandemic Era? 

May 22 2020 – 12PM-11:15PM – Virtual Conference via Zoom

Paul Triolo, Practice Head of Geotechnology, Eurasia Group

Paul S. Triolo leads Eurasia Group’s newest practice, focusing on global technology policy issues, cybersecurity, internet governance, ICT regulatory issues, and emerging areas such as automation, AI/Big Data, ambient intelligence, and fintech/blockchain. He is building a cross-issue and cross-regional team that helps clients understand and assess the risk generated by the complex intersection of politics, technology innovation, security threats, and the changing global regulatory environment.

Prior to joining Eurasia Group, Paul served in senior positions within the US government for more than 25 years, focusing primarily on China’s rise as a science and technology (S&T) and cyber power. He provided analytic support to the president and senior policymakers, and was the lead drafter for a number of widely acclaimed national estimates on China S&T innovation and industrial policies, as well as cyberspace issues. Paul’s technical background, including a bachelor’s degree in electrical engineering from Penn State University and work experience in Silicon Valley, along with his extensive work on internet governance and policy issues in government, have prepared him to tackle the substantial challenges companies will face in cyberspace. Paul is a China Digital Economy Fellow (non-resident) at New America. He is also an avid early adopter of all sorts of green and information technologies and platforms, and has been the family chief technology officer for some time.


CSCC Future of US-China Relations Project: Can China Save Globalization? 

May 29 2020 – 12PM-11:15PM – Virtual Conference via Zoom

Susan Thornton, Yale Law School China Center

 Susan A. Thornton is Visiting Lecturer in Law at Yale Law School and Senior Fellow at the Paul Tsai China Center. In 2018, she retired from the State Department after a 28-year diplomatic career focused primarily on East and Central Asia. In leadership roles in Washington, Thornton worked on China and Korea policy, including stabilizing relations with Taiwan, the U.S.-China Cyber Agreement, the Paris Climate Accord and led a successful negotiation in Pyongyang for monitoring of the Agreed Framework on denuclearization.

In her 18 years of overseas postings in Central Asia, Russia, the Caucasus and China, Thornton’s leadership furthered U.S. interests and influence and maintained programs and mission morale in a host of difficult operating environments. Prior to joining the Foreign Service, she was among the first State Department Fascell Fellows and served from 1989–90 at the U.S. Consulate in Leningrad. She was also a researcher at the Foreign Policy Institute from 1987–91. Thornton holds degrees from the National Defense University’s Eisenhower School, the Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies, and Bowdoin College. She speaks Russian, Mandarin Chinese and French, is a member of numerous professional associations and is on the Board of Trustees for the Eurasia Foundation.